Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.003891 0.004091 0.004295 0.004521 0.004764 0.005017 0.005301
2025-07-20 0.003592 0.003894 0.004217 0.004589 0.005008 0.005467 0.006010
2025-07-27 0.003341 0.003695 0.004084 0.004546 0.005082 0.005690 0.006437
2025-08-03 0.003156 0.003545 0.003983 0.004515 0.005150 0.005889 0.006827
2025-08-10 0.003001 0.003416 0.003890 0.004479 0.005198 0.006056 0.007174
2025-08-17 0.002929 0.003376 0.003896 0.004554 0.005374 0.006379 0.007725
2025-08-24 0.002821 0.003284 0.003832 0.004537 0.005432 0.006552 0.008088
2025-08-31 0.002717 0.003193 0.003762 0.004506 0.005467 0.006691 0.008410
2025-09-07 0.002611 0.003092 0.003676 0.004447 0.005460 0.006772 0.008652
2025-09-14 0.002512 0.002997 0.003591 0.004385 0.005443 0.006835 0.008870
2025-09-21 0.002452 0.002947 0.003560 0.004391 0.005513 0.007017 0.009261
2025-09-28 0.002335 0.002821 0.003428 0.004256 0.005388 0.006922 0.009245
2025-10-05 0.002282 0.002776 0.003399 0.004260 0.005452 0.007096 0.009634
2025-10-12 0.002256 0.002766 0.003415 0.004323 0.005600 0.007393 0.010226
2025-10-19 0.002192 0.002702 0.003357 0.004283 0.005600 0.007476 0.010492
2025-10-26 0.002135 0.002647 0.003309 0.004254 0.005614 0.007579 0.010795
2025-11-02 0.002081 0.002593 0.003260 0.004222 0.005620 0.007667 0.011077
2025-11-09 0.002067 0.002592 0.003283 0.004290 0.005776 0.007988 0.011758
2025-11-16 0.002023 0.002550 0.003248 0.004275 0.005806 0.008116 0.012122
2025-11-23 0.001977 0.002503 0.003205 0.004246 0.005814 0.008209 0.012432
2025-11-30 0.001925 0.002446 0.003147 0.004192 0.005780 0.008234 0.012623
2025-12-07 0.001874 0.002390 0.003088 0.004135 0.005740 0.008245 0.012788
2025-12-14 0.001846 0.002365 0.003071 0.004140 0.005796 0.008414 0.013249